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Subject: What it will really take to feed the world
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Gates Notes

By Bill Gates


By Bill Gates

   =20
   =20
    Read this article on LinkedIn to join the conversation
Read on LinkedIn
https://www.linkedin.com/comm/pulse/what-really-take-feed-world-bill-gates-=
43g2f?lipi=3Durn%3Ali%3Apage%3Aemail_email_series_follow_newsletter_01%3B2G=
9Pm1nASS6xcuUOCaJdYQ%3D%3D&midToken=3DAQE1h4lzFlkomg&midSig=3D28KUl7JB25ZXE=
1&trk=3Deml-email_series_follow_newsletter_01-null-0-read_more_banner_cta_&=
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a_-null-nouki6~m86gnobh~h5-null-null&eid=3Dnouki6-m86gnobh-h5&otpToken=3DMT=
MwMTFkZTIxNjJiYzBjNGJjMjgwZmViNDExYWU2YmM4ZWM4ZDY0NDk5YTg4NjZiN2JjZTA0Njg0Y=
zVmNWVmN2YyZDJkNGU5NjViOGMxZjU1NWZmZWNiYzZjYmMzZDdhOTdmOTc2NTZjYjY0NzA2MTlm=
Zjc0NTkxLDEsMQ%3D%3D
 =20
In the introduction to his latest book, How to Feed the World, Vaclav Smil =
writes that =E2=80=9Cnumbers are the antidote to wishful thinking.=E2=80=9D=
 That one line captures why I=E2=80=99ve been such a devoted reader of this=
 curmudgeonly Canada-based Czech academic for so many years. Across his dec=
ades of research and writing, Vaclav has tackled some of the biggest questi=
ons in energy, agriculture, and public health=E2=80=94not by making grand p=
redictions, but by breaking down complex problems into measurable data. Now=
, in How to Feed the World, Vaclav applies that same approach to one of the=
 most pressing issues of our time: ensuring that everyone has enough nutrit=
ious food to eat. Many discussions about feeding the world focus on increas=
ing agricultural productivity through improved seeds, healthier soils, bett=
er farming practices, and more productive livestock (all priorities for the=
 Gates Foundation). Vaclav, however, insists we already produce more than e=
nough food to feed the world. The real challenge, he says, is what happens =
after the food is grown. This kind of argument is classic Vaclav=E2=80=94qu=
estioning assumptions, forcing us to rethink the way we frame problems, and=
 turning conventional wisdom on its head. His analysis is never about the b=
est- or worst-case scenarios; it=E2=80=99s about what the numbers actually =
tell us. And the numbers tell a striking story: Some of the world=E2=80=99s=
 biggest food producers have the highest rates of undernourishment. Globall=
y, we produce around 3,000 calories per person per day=E2=80=94more than en=
ough to feed everyone=E2=80=94but a staggering one-third of all food is was=
ted. (In some rich countries, that figure climbs to 45 percent.) Distributi=
on systems fail, economic policies backfire, and food doesn=E2=80=99t alway=
s go where it=E2=80=99s needed. I=E2=80=99ve seen this firsthand through th=
e Gates Foundation=E2=80=99s work in sub-Saharan Africa, where food insecur=
ity is driven by low agricultural productivity and weak infrastructure. Yie=
lds in the region remain far lower than in Asia or Latin America, in part b=
ecause farmers rely on rain-fed agriculture rather than irrigation and have=
 limited access to fertilizers, quality seeds, and digital farming tools. B=
ut even when food is grown, getting it to market is another challenge. Poor=
 roads drive up transport costs, inadequate storage leads to food going bad=
, and weak trade networks make nutritious food unaffordable for many famili=
es. And access is only part of the problem. Even when people get enough cal=
ories, they=E2=80=99re often missing the right nutrients. Malnutrition rema=
ins one of the most critical challenges the foundation works on=E2=80=94and=
 it=E2=80=99s more complex than eating enough food. While severe hunger has=
 declined globally, micronutrient deficiencies remain stubbornly common, ev=
en in wealthy countries. One of the most effective solutions has been aroun=
d for nearly a century: food fortification. In the U.S., flour has been for=
tified with iron and vitamin B since the 1940s. This simple step has helped=
 prevent conditions like anemia and neural tube defects and improve public =
health at scale=E2=80=94close to vaccines in terms of lives improved per do=
llar spent. One of the most interesting parts of the book is Vaclav=E2=80=
=99s exploration of how human diets evolved. Across civilizations, people i=
ndependently discovered that pairing grains with legumes created complete p=
rotein profiles=E2=80=94whether it was rice and soybeans in Asia, wheat and=
 lentils in India, or corn and beans in the Americas. These solutions emerg=
ed from practical experience long before modern science could explain why t=
hey worked so well. But just as past generations adapted their diets to ava=
ilable resources, we=E2=80=99re now facing new challenges that require us t=
o adapt in different ways. Technology and innovation can help. They=E2=80=
=99ve already transformed the way we produce food, and they=E2=80=99ll cont=
inue to play a role. Take aquaculture: Once a tiny industry, it=E2=80=99s g=
rown over the past 40 years to supply more seafood for the world than tradi=
tional fishing=E2=80=94a scalable way to meet global protein demands. The G=
reen Revolution is another example. Beginning in the 1960s, innovations in =
higher-yielding crops, more effective fertilizers, and modern irrigation pr=
evented widespread famine in India and Mexico. These changes were once seen=
 as unlikely, too. New breakthroughs could drive even more progress. CRISPR=
 gene editing, for instance, could help develop crops that are more resilie=
nt to drought, disease, and pests=E2=80=94critical for farmers facing the p=
ressures of climate change. Vaclav warns that we can=E2=80=99t count on tec=
hnological miracles alone, and I agree. But I also believe that breakthroug=
hs like CRISPR could be game-changing, just as the Green Revolution once wa=
s. The key is balancing long-term innovation with practical solutions we ca=
n implement immediately. And some of these solutions aren=E2=80=99t about p=
roducing more food at all=E2=80=94they=E2=80=99re about wasting less of wha=
t we already have. Better storage and packaging, smarter supply chains, and=
 flexible pricing models could significantly reduce spoilage and excess inv=
entory. In a conversation we had about the book, Vaclav pointed out that Co=
stco (which might seem like the pinnacle of U.S. consumption) stocks fewer =
than 4,000 items, compared to 40,000-plus in a typical North American super=
market. That kind of efficiency=E2=80=94focusing on fewer, high-turnover pr=
oducts=E2=80=94reduces waste, lowers costs, and ultimately eases pressure o=
n global food supply, helping make food more affordable where it is needed =
most. How to Feed the World had a lot to teach me=E2=80=94and I=E2=80=99m s=
ure it will teach you a lot, too. Like all of Vaclav=E2=80=99s best books, =
it challenges readers to think differently about a problem we thought we un=
derstood. Growing more and better food remains crucial=E2=80=94especially i=
n places like sub-Saharan Africa, where there simply isn=E2=80=99t enough. =
But as the world=E2=80=99s population approaches 10 billion, increasing agr=
icultural productivity alone won=E2=80=99t solve hunger and malnutrition. W=
e also need to ensure that food is more accessible and affordable, less was=
ted, and just as nutritious as it is abundant. After all, the goal isn=E2=
=80=99t to make more food for its own sake=E2=80=94it=E2=80=99s to feed mor=
e people.
Keep reading on LinkedIn
https://www.linkedin.com/comm/pulse/what-really-take-feed-world-bill-gates-=
43g2f?lipi=3Durn%3Ali%3Apage%3Aemail_email_series_follow_newsletter_01%3B2G=
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NWZmZWNiYzZjYmMzZDdhOTdmOTc2NTZjYjY0NzA2MTlmZjc0NTkxLDEsMQ%3D%3D
 =20
     =20

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kedin.com/comm/in/deep-kumar-46688933b?lipi=3Durn%3Ali%3Apage%3Aemail_email=
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48px; padding-right: 8px;" width=3D"48"> <a href=3D"https://www.linkedin.co=
m/comm/newsletters/6651495472181637121?lipi=3Durn%3Ali%3Apage%3Aemail_email=
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-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%;"> <img class=3D=
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k; height: 48px; width: 48px; border-radius: 8px; background-color: #eae6df=
;" width=3D"48" height=3D"48"> </a> </td> <td valign=3D"top" style=3D"-webk=
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t; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;"> <table role=3D"presentation" valign=3D"top" bor=
der=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" cellpadding=3D"0" width=3D"100%" style=3D"-webk=
it-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0p=
t; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;"> <tbody> <tr> <td style=3D"-webkit-text-size-adj=
ust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rsp=
ace: 0pt;"> <a href=3D"https://www.linkedin.com/comm/newsletters/6651495472=
181637121?lipi=3Durn%3Ali%3Apage%3Aemail_email_series_follow_newsletter_01%=
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t-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; text-decoration-line:=
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"overflow-wrap: break-word; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 600; line-height:=
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/tr> <tr> <td style=3D"-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust=
: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;"> <a href=3D"https://=
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y: inline-block; text-decoration: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms=
-text-size-adjust: 100%; text-decoration-line: none;"> <span class=3D"text-=
xs text-color-text-low-emphasis leading-regular" style=3D"font-size: 12px; =
line-height: 1.25; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.6);"> The blog of Bill Gates </sp=
an> </a> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> =
</tr> <tr data-test-id=3D"newsletter-content-preview"> <td class=3D"px-3 pt=
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ht: 24px; padding-top: 16px;"> <table role=3D"presentation" valign=3D"top" =
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style=3D"-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-ta=
ble-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt; overflow: hidden;"> <table role=3D"=
presentation" valign=3D"top" border=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" cellpadding=3D"=
0" width=3D"100%" style=3D"-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-ad=
just: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;"> <tbody> <tr> <t=
d style=3D"-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-=
table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;"> <a href=3D"https://www.linkedin=
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-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;"> <a=
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ll-gates-43g2f?lipi=3Durn%3Ali%3Apage%3Aemail_email_series_follow_newslette=
r_01%3B2G9Pm1nASS6xcuUOCaJdYQ%3D%3D&amp;midToken=3DAQE1h4lzFlkomg&amp;midSi=
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er_content_preview-0-title_&amp;trkEmail=3Deml-email_series_follow_newslett=
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e;"> <h2 class=3D"m-0 text-display-sm leading-regular text-color-text font-=
bold font-sans" style=3D"margin: 0px; font-family: -apple-system, system-ui=
, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, 'Helvetica Neue', 'Fira Sans', Ub=
untu, Oxygen, 'Oxygen Sans', Cantarell, 'Droid Sans', 'Apple Color Emoji', =
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vetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 24px; font-weight: 600; line-height: =
1.25; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);"> What it will really take to feed the wor=
ld </h2> </a> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style=3D"-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%;=
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x;" width=3D"24"> <a href=3D"https://www.linkedin.com/comm/in/williamhgates=
?lipi=3Durn%3Ali%3Apage%3Aemail_email_series_follow_newsletter_01%3B2G9Pm1n=
ASS6xcuUOCaJdYQ%3D%3D&amp;midToken=3DAQE1h4lzFlkomg&amp;midSig=3D28KUl7JB25=
ZXE1&amp;trk=3Deml-email_series_follow_newsletter_01-newsletter_content_pre=
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56ZRi8g.aGsAg-/0/1736826818802?e=3D2147483647&amp;v=3Dbeta&amp;t=3Dr6LJYwKP=
rJzfFDXVG8qAOoklQnqvEN855sHJ1NxhEAo" alt=3D"Author image" style=3D"outline:=
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lative; display: inline-block; height: 32px; width: 32px; border-radius: 99=
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e-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-tabl=
e-rspace: 0pt;"> <a href=3D"https://www.linkedin.com/comm/in/williamhgates?=
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SS6xcuUOCaJdYQ%3D%3D&amp;midToken=3DAQE1h4lzFlkomg&amp;midSig=3D28KUl7JB25Z=
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lass=3D"no-underline ml-1" style=3D"color: #0a66c2; cursor: pointer; displa=
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nde', Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 600; line=
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/tr> </tbody> </table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class=3D"pb-1" style=3D"-webkit=
-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt;=
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ine-height: 1.25; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);"> Read this article on LinkedI=
n to join the conversation </span> </div> <table role=3D"presentation" vali=
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e=3D"-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-=
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ww.linkedin.com/comm/pulse/what-really-take-feed-world-bill-gates-43g2f?lip=
i=3Durn%3Ali%3Apage%3Aemail_email_series_follow_newsletter_01%3B2G9Pm1nASS6=
xcuUOCaJdYQ%3D%3D&amp;midToken=3DAQE1h4lzFlkomg&amp;midSig=3D28KUl7JB25ZXE1=
&amp;trk=3Deml-email_series_follow_newsletter_01-newsletter_content_preview=
-0-read_more_banner_cta_&amp;trkEmail=3Deml-email_series_follow_newsletter_=
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BjNGJjMjgwZmViNDExYWU2YmM4ZWM4ZDY0NDk5YTg4NjZiN2JjZTA0Njg0YzVmNWVmN2YyZDJkN=
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D%3D" target=3D"_blank" tabindex=3D"-1" aria-hidden=3D"true" class=3D"no-un=
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" style=3D"color: #ffffff; text-decoration-line: none;"> Read on LinkedIn <=
/span> </a> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </a> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table=
> </div> </td> </tr> <tr data-test-id=3D"newsletter-content-preview--conten=
t"> <td class=3D"font-sans text-md leading-open text-system-gray-90" style=
=3D"-webkit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-l=
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linkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', Roboto, 'Helvetica Neue', 'Fira Sans', Ubunt=
u, Oxygen, 'Oxygen Sans', Cantarell, 'Droid Sans', 'Apple Color Emoji', 'Se=
goe UI Emoji', 'Segoe UI Emoji', 'Segoe UI Symbol', 'Lucida Grande', Helvet=
ica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5; color: #282828;"=
> <div data-test-id=3D"publishing-text-block"> <p class=3D"m-0 mt-1.5 text-=
md leading-open" style=3D"font-weight: 400; margin: 0px; margin-top: 12px; =
font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5;"> <span class data-test-id=3D"little-tex=
t-block">In the introduction to his latest book, </span><span class=3D"ital=
ic" data-test-id=3D"little-text-block" style=3D"font-style: italic;">How to=
 Feed the World</span><span class data-test-id=3D"little-text-block">, Vacl=
av Smil writes that =E2=80=9Cnumbers are the antidote to wishful thinking.=
=E2=80=9D That one line captures why I=E2=80=99ve been such a devoted reade=
r of this curmudgeonly Canada-based Czech academic for so many years. Acros=
s his decades of research and writing, Vaclav has tackled some of the bigge=
st questions in energy, agriculture, and public health=E2=80=94not by makin=
g grand predictions, but by breaking down complex problems into measurable =
data.</span> </p> </div> <div data-test-id=3D"publishing-text-block"> <p cl=
ass=3D"m-0 mt-1.5 text-md leading-open" style=3D"font-weight: 400; margin: =
0px; margin-top: 12px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5;"> <span class dat=
a-test-id=3D"little-text-block">Now, in </span><span class=3D"italic" data-=
test-id=3D"little-text-block" style=3D"font-style: italic;">How to Feed the=
 World</span><span class data-test-id=3D"little-text-block">, Vaclav applie=
s that same approach to one of the most pressing issues of our time: ensuri=
ng that everyone has enough nutritious food to eat. Many discussions about =
feeding the world focus on increasing agricultural productivity through imp=
roved seeds, healthier soils, better farming practices, and more productive=
 livestock (all priorities for the Gates Foundation). Vaclav, however, insi=
sts we already produce more than enough food to feed the world. The real ch=
allenge, he says, is what happens after the food is grown.</span> </p> </di=
v> <table role=3D"presentation" valign=3D"top" border=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"=
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a> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </a> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> </td> <=
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/table> <div data-test-id=3D"publishing-text-block"> <p class=3D"m-0 mt-1.5=
 text-md leading-open" style=3D"font-weight: 400; margin: 0px; margin-top: =
12px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5;"> <span class data-test-id=3D"litt=
le-text-block">This kind of argument is classic Vaclav=E2=80=94questioning =
assumptions, forcing us to rethink the way we frame problems, and turning c=
onventional wisdom on its head. His analysis is never about the best- or wo=
rst-case scenarios; it=E2=80=99s about what the numbers actually tell us.</=
span> </p> </div> <div data-test-id=3D"publishing-text-block"> <p class=3D"=
m-0 mt-1.5 text-md leading-open" style=3D"font-weight: 400; margin: 0px; ma=
rgin-top: 12px; font-size: 16px; line-height: 1.5;"> <span class data-test-=
id=3D"little-text-block">And the numbers tell a striking story: Some of the=
 world=E2=80=99s biggest food producers have the highest rates of undernour=
ishment. Globally, we produce around 3,000 calories per person per day=E2=
=80=94more than enough to feed everyone=E2=80=94but a staggering one-third =
of all food is wasted. (In some rich countries, that figure climbs to 45 pe=
rcent.) Distribution systems fail, economic policies backfire, and food doe=
sn=E2=80=99t always go where it=E2=80=99s needed.</span> </p> </div> <span>=
...</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td class=3D"pt-2 no-underline" style=3D"-webki=
t-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt=
; mso-table-rspace: 0pt; padding-top: 16px; text-decoration-line: none;"> <=
table role=3D"presentation" valign=3D"top" border=3D"0" cellspacing=3D"0" c=
ellpadding=3D"0" width=3D"100%" class=3D"email-button series-content-previe=
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ust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0pt; mso-table-rsp=
ace: 0pt;"> <tbody> <tr> <td valign=3D"middle" align=3D"left" style=3D"-web=
kit-text-size-adjust: 100%; -ms-text-size-adjust: 100%; mso-table-lspace: 0=
pt; mso-table-rspace: 0pt;"> <a href=3D"https://www.linkedin.com/comm/pulse=
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